Xiao Zhang

Ph.D. Candidate in Finance

Robert H. Smith School of Business

University of Maryland


Research Interests: Empirical Asset Pricing, Institutional Investors, and Market Microstructure

Email: xz66@umd.edu

Links: SSRN

Working Papers

Present: SFA 2024 (scheduled), AFA 2025 PhD Poster (scheduled), TwinBeech Capital, Wolfe Research, Maryland Brownbag

Abstract: Individual stocks with daily closing price just above round numbers (e.g., $6.1) outperform stocks just below (e.g, $5.9) by 24.6 bps over next day, which translates to an annualized return of 61%! This return pattern is extremely robust to various stock characteristics and international samples. We provide evidence to link these predictable price movements to limit order clustering: prices just above (below) round numbers are supported (resisted) by a clustering of limit orders at these psychologically significant levels. This finding reveals a profound impact of order clustering (mostly by retail investors) on random price movement and market efficiency.

2. Same-Weekday Momentum (with Zhi Da)

Present: SFS Asia-Pacific 2024 (scheduled), Paris December 2024 (scheduled), Notre Dame Brownbag, Maryland Brownbag

Abstract: A disproportionately large fraction (70%) of stock momentum reflects return continuation on the same weekday (e.g., Mondays to Mondays), or the same-weekday momentum. Even accounting for partial reversals in other weekdays, the same-weekday momentum still contributes to a significant fraction (20% to 60%) of the momentum effect. This pattern is robust to different size filters, weighing schemes, time periods, and sample cuts. The same-weekday momentum is hard to square with traditional momentum theories based on investor mis-reaction. Instead, we provide direct and novel evidence that links it to within-week seasonality and persistence in institutional trading. Overall, our findings highlight institutional trading as an important driver of the stock momentum. 

Work in Progress

3. "Perpetual" Futures (with Albert "Pete" Kyle)

4. Informative Equity Price and Corporate Lending (with Brandon Yueyang Han)